CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2021-11-26T01:25:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2021-11-26T01:25ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/18379/-1
CME Note: Faint CME visible in the NE in SOHO LASCO C2/C3; likely leaves the FOV during STEREO A data gap. Associated with a filament eruption in the vicinity of the unnumbered active region near N20E40, visible in SDO AIA 171/193/304 beginning 2021-11-25T23:45Z (during STEREO A data gap). Partially overlaps with an earlier halo CME in C2. May possibly have some deflection from the source location. There is possibly a very weak magnetic shock at 2021-11-29T08:37Z, but it's not really supported well by the solar wind data, so an arrival is not supported.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-11-29T08:37Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 4.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.5 - 3.5
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 59.55 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2021-11-26T21:04Z
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